Iraq Problem Investigator Report
Session One Before Thoughts:
I decided that it might be a good idea for me to jot down some of my thoughts before and after each session and include them in my report.
Right now I am feeling a rather unpleasant mix of anxiety and pure dread. Something like what it used to feel like just before a big final exam, the kind where a whole semester of work was at stake. Am I prepared enough for this? Could anybody be? What am I doing here? All those questions and more are going through my mind. I want to be a part of this investigation but I question whether or not I am up to the task of being a “sort of a moderator” who gets things going. I have thought a lot about how I should start things off but it feels like I am the captain of the Hindenburg. “Okay gentlemen, let us celebrate our flight on this hydrogen filled airship by the smoking of victory cigars. Let’s light ‘em up!” Baaaboom! Crash and burn.
I just want to get this first session over with. O.Y.
Session One
“Troublemakers, Airplanes and Automobiles”
Old Yankee: Okay gentlemen. Here we go. Rather than starting things off with the resumes of your lifetime accomplishments let me give you two a quick way to let people learn something about how you two think.
I would like each of you to suggest something specific that the people of Iraq could do that you believe would be beneficial and would somehow change things for the better. It has to be a specific idea, not some general and vague “just learn to get along with each other” kind of thing.
We’ll start things off with John.
John: I would like to see the people of Iraq say something like this to America:
“Gee whiz America, you’re right. We here in Iraq aren’t moving quickly enough and we aren’t running our new democracy well enough. I guess we just don’t know enough about running a democracy. But you Americans have lots of knowledge and experience in democracy matters. We Iraqis think that what we really need is for you Americans to show us how it is done. We need to see Americans solve an American domestic issue so that we have a present day example of how a modern democracy works. Then we can learn from your example of how you solved one of your present day problems. Once we have a good enough example to follow we might be able to do a better job over here.”
Tom: Uh oh! Look out America. When John starts talking like this you are about to get whacked with something.
John: Am I getting that predictable? Oh well. Here’s the rest of what I would like to see the Iraqis say to America.
“We Iraqis would like to see America solve its immigration problem. But please understand that a solution that just barely meets with majority American approval won’t be good enough. We need to see you solve the problem in such a way that the overwhelming majority of Americans agree with the solution.
You see, the situation that we are in over here in Iraq is one where people are very divided and we need to get the vast majority of Iraqis to agree on something in a way that will endure. So we need you Americans to take on an issue where you Americans are very divided and show us how you deal with that sort of thing; we need you to show us how the people in a democracy solve big divisive issues.
So we, the people of Iraq, would like to see you, the people of the United States, solve your American immigration problem in such a way that seventy-five percent of the American people agree that the solution is a good one; and seventy-five percent of Americans agree that the solution is good enough to endure for generations.
The United States is a nation with a wealth of knowledge and experience in the ways of democracy. And so the United States should have no great difficulty in showing us Iraqis how it is all done.”
If the Iraqis did something like that I believe that it would have a positive effect on their situation. It would cause people in the U.S. to have fits, of course, but it should benefit the Iraqis.
Tom: Wow! I love it. It puts America on the spot in a way that should please and benefit the Iraqis, and a seventy-five percent approval sets the bar pretty high but American history and the constitution say that seventy-five percent approval is possible. If the Iraqis did as you suggest then every time we Americans complained about how slowly or poorly things are going over there the Iraqis could shoot back with, “Gee you’re right. Oh? By the way, how’s that American immigration thing going? Have you solved it yet? Are you getting close to the seventy-five percent solution? We really need you to show us how this democracy thing works. Could you please hurry up and solve that problem so that we can learn from you?”
Old Yankee: Okay Tom. Now it’s your turn.
Tom: I would like to see the people of Iraq begin to use the power of the voice of the people in a democracy. One way to use that power would be for the Iraqis to have a national vote, or the equivalent of a vote, on a number of important issues put in the form of national ballot questions that could influence their destiny as a nation. The push for such a vote could come from a grassroots effort or from the government but a vote on the right set of ballot questions should help them.
Ballot questions like: Should the Americans remain to assist in Iraq or should they leave? Should the insurgents cease their military actions? Is the government in Iraq the only group that is authorized by the people of Iraq to mount and direct military actions?
In a democracy the will of the people can have great power and if the people of Iraq could use the power of the ballot, the power behind an official vote of the people, it could benefit them greatly. Non-binding ballot questions would be less risky than binding ones, and I do not know what their political system permits, but with something like an official vote on a number of important questions the people of Iraq could make their will known and begin to take control of their national destiny.
In a democracy the ballot can be more powerful than the bullet.
John: Yes. I can see how that might work and be a benefit to the Iraqis and give them a sense of control.
Plus, all the different groups, groups inside or outside of Iraq, that are trying to influence the situation over there would have to figure out how their actions would influence the national vote. A group that uses violence might curb their violent actions in an attempt to influence the vote. And a reduction in violence could give the Iraqi government a chance to gain more control. So the right set of ballot questions could be quite useful.
But you do realize that some Americans would be against the idea of giving the Iraqis the chance to vote on our continued presence?
Tom: The possibility of such an Iraqi vote would have an influence on any group with an interest in the Iraq situation, even on groups of Americans. Americans who want us to leave Iraq would be all for the vote if they believed that the Iraqis would quickly vote to boot us out of their country, but there would be Americans who would be against such a vote. So yours isn’t the only idea that might benefit the Iraqis and cause some Americans to have fits.
Old Yankee: Hey, should I be referring to you two as investigators or calling you troublemakers? Anyway, those two ideas should give the readers some small sense of how you two think. Now let’s move on to the basic Iraq situation.
People are looking for some sort of new direction in regards to Iraq. But finding a new direction that gets us to a solution might require looking at the problem in a new way. Do either of you have any ideas that would give us a new way of looking at things in the Iraq Problem?
Tom: Well the more I look at it the more it seems to me that most Americans are starting with variations of the same false assumption.
Some people believe that what we have to do is to somehow get the people in Iraq to be more like us and somehow get their democracy to be more like ours. While others believe that it isn’t possible to get the people in Iraq to be like us, and that it is impossible to get Iraq’s democracy to be like ours. Both views share the idea that we haven’t done it yet; we haven’t made Iraq just like us. But there is evidence that suggests that we have already created a democracy in Iraq that is too much like our own democracy.
If you look at the United States over the past decade or two, you see a nation very divided over lots of different issues and Americans angry with other Americans. So much so that the states have been divided into red states and blue states.
John: It sounds like we are a country in some sort of Civil War mode.
Tom: Right. Two colors for states, great animosity among Americans, constant battling and bickering, and a government with an inability to get much done domestically. And America has a two party system, a polarized two party system of late. So if we were to try to create a new nation that was just like ours, but one with a multi-party system, what would that new multi-party nation look like?
John: I think it would look a lot like Iraq.
Tom: That’s how it looks to me. It looks like we somehow managed to create a nation that is very much like our own. Our democracy is polarized and theirs is too. We can’t get much done domestically and they can’t get much done domestically. Political compromise doesn’t happen for us here or for them over there.
John: Interesting idea. The possibility that the reason why we have failed is that we have succeeded.
Old Yankee: But Tom, we don’t have the death toll or problems here that they have over there.
Tom: That all depends upon who is doing the counting or looking at the problems.
In the abortion battle in the U.S. the pro-life people would put the death toll somewhere in the millions. There was a death toll associated with the civil rights battles that occurred in America during the last hundred years; people killed just because they weren’t the right color and today hate crimes still occur. We have gangs ruling some of our streets, drive by shootings, murders and all sorts of violence here. The U.S. is not a peaceful utopia and neither is any other present day democracy.
My point is that there are many ways in which the U.S. and Iraq are similar and people are missing those similarities.
Old Yankee: Why would those similarities be important?
Tom: Because people come up with solutions that are based on their underlying assumptions. If people base all of their “solutions” on an assumption and then none of those “solutions” work it may be because the underlying assumption is faulty.
Some people think that the Iraq situation is hopeless. Why? Because they believe that the Iraqis are very different from us. Others think that the situation over there would improve if we could get them to be more like us. That is another way of saying that they are presently very different from us.
But what if the problem is that they are too much like us? In that case all of the “difference” based solutions would fail but solutions that are based on the similarities in the two nations might work.
John: Well that is certainly an interesting way of looking at it and it would give us a new way to approach the Iraq Problem. You may be on to something Tom because …
…it is known that there are a number of working democracies in the world and that each democracy is unique, meaning that no two democracies are absolutely identical in every way. Which means that each democracy is somehow different from all of the others. India is different from the United States and the U.S. is different from Mexico and so on.
Now consider the possibility that some of those differences are very important. Things that work in India and are important in India might not work very well in the U.S. or in Mexico.
Tom: Oh! I think I see where you are going with this. Some of the things that make the Indian democracy uniquely Indian are really important in India but are not important in the United States. And so if the United States focuses too much on the differences between the U.S. and Iraq it could wreak havoc in Iraq.
Old Yankee: Okay you two. Stop right there! You guys are losing me. How does any of that make sense or matter?
John: Start with the idea that each of the world’s working democracies is unique and then treat that idea as something that is always true; like some sort of a rule that we can use. That means that if Iraq is to become a working democracy then it will become a unique democracy and Iraq’s democracy will somehow be different from all the others.
Are you with us so far?
Old Yankee: Yes, I get that.
Tom: Now let’s come up with another rule. Rule 2: Some of the things that make a democracy unique are really important in that democracy.
That rule means that some of the things that make the democracy in India unique are really important in India and you can’t just get rid of those things in India just because some other democracy doesn’t need them. And the same would be true for Iraq if it were to become a working democracy.
So some of the things that would make Iraq a unique working democracy would be really important for Iraq and you couldn’t just get rid of those things in Iraq’s democracy just because those things weren’t needed in some other democracy.
You still with us?
Old Yankee: I think so.
John: Now imagine that Iraq is a working democracy and that the U.S. is only worried about the things in Iraq that are different than they are here in the United States and that the U.S. tries to get Iraq to change ALL of those “different” things in Iraq and that the U.S. actually succeeds in doing that. What would happen to Iraq’s uniqueness?
Old Yankee: Iraq’s uniqueness would disappear. It would no longer be a unique democracy because all of the things that made Iraq unique would be gone. But the first rule states that all working democracies are unique, so then Iraq could not be a working democracy in that situation because that would violate the first rule.
John: And the same basic thing would be true if the U.S. got the Iraqis to change all of those “different” things about Iraq before Iraq became a working democracy. Those changes would get rid of all of the things that would make Iraq unique and would therefore prevent Iraq from becoming a working democracy.
Old Yankee: But the U.S. hasn’t made Iraq exactly like us yet. So we haven’t changed ALL of those “different” things and we aren’t likely to do that any time soon.
Tom: True. But it might only take changing ONE important thing or a few important things to mess up a new democracy and the U.S. is trying to get Iraq to change. And Iraq appears to be getting worse, farther and farther away from becoming a working democracy.
John: And that is what you would expect to happen to Iraq if those two rules were true and the United States were doing just what it is doing. The more that we were to try to make Iraq like us the worse things would get over there.
But you need to understand that we are not saying that that IS what is going on. At the moment we are just looking for new ways to view the Iraq Problem. And we are coming at it like investigators and running a quick test.
Tom: Here’s how it works. We try to brainstorm up some idea. Then we come up with some way to test that idea to see how the idea measures up; in this case to see if there is any way for the idea to be possible.
We started with the idea that maybe Iraq was too much like the United States. Then the next step was to try to figure out if there was any way possible for that to be a problem for Iraq. Could making Iraq too much like the U.S. cause problems for Iraq?
John: So we looked at democracies and came up with a few rules that most people could agree with. Democracies are all unique and that the things that make each democracy unique might be important and by using those two rules we were able to show that it might be possible to mess up a new democracy by trying to make it just like another democracy.
That doesn’t mean that the U.S. did mess up Iraq in that way, it just means that it is a possibility and it is a new way to look at things. And that is a part of what we wanted to do in this first session, find a new way to look at the Iraq Problem.
Tom: Something you need to keep in mind is that, in our little group, we are trying to do a number of things at the same time.
John: Right. We aren’t just trying to see the Iraq Problem in a new way. We are also trying to get the readers to see and think about the Iraq Problem in a new way. Not because our way of looking at it is the right way but because things don’t seem to be working in Iraq and we all might need new ways to look at the Iraq Problem if the U.S. is ever going to find a solution.
Tom: John and I both know something about invention and how things work in the real world. The modern jet and the modern automobile are both quite different than the planes and cars from a hundred years ago and the reason for that is simple. People tried to improve those inventions.
Over time, people worked to solve the problems with airplanes and automobiles. They tried and failed and tried again and sometimes they succeeded. Each step of the way people were building on the previous successes and learning from the failures.
John: Different groups of people worked the problems and figured things out. They added new ideas and innovations. They learned what worked and what didn’t. That is what inventors do and inventors are investigators trying to solve mysteries. Investigators think, come up with new ideas, innovate and solve problems. And investigators build on the work of other investigators.
Tom: That is one of the things that we are trying to do here, with the Iraq Problem.
We come up with some ideas here and those ideas get some reader thinking. That reader starts with our ideas and he improves upon them. He starts his own group and they work the Iraq Problem, improving on what we came up with, getting closer to a solution. A woman reads their work and ours and figures out a way to improve things even more or gets an even better idea and starts her own group. Each group works the problem, trying to improve and innovate. That’s how inventions happen and that is how things are improved in the real world.
John: You see, Old Yankee, there is no way for us to know who we are most like in this problem-solving process. Are we, in our little group, like the Wright brothers and will we be the first to the solution? Or are we more like the people who preceded the Wright brothers? The Wright brothers were not the first people to attempt manned flight. Many people laid the groundwork that the Wright brothers built on.
Tom: That is the nature of invention, innovation and investigation. Using what others have learned, learning from their failures and successes. It is all a part of the tried and true methods that are used to solve problems.
All around us are the examples of how successful those methods are. Modern jets and automobiles, televisions, computers and cell phones. These methods are known to work on all sorts of problems and investigators use those methods to solve all sorts of mysteries.
John: Tom and I both know that we are not the only people who want to find a solution to the Iraq Problem. There are other investigators out there. But which group of investigators will find the best solution? It could be our little group but it could be some other group. Part of what we are trying to do here is to show those other investigators what our approach is and what we discover so that they have more to work with.
Every investigator knows, that at any moment, he could be headed down a dead end road with little chance of solving the mystery. If we make some wrong turn here, in our group, there may be others who are able to spot where we went wrong and their investigation might be better able to find the best avenue to take to get to a solution.
But for us, we have a long way to go before we run up the white flag. And we now have a new way to look at the Iraq Problem, the possibility that Iraq is too much like the United States. To us it seems like something to look into and see where it leads our investigation. Other investigators may see things differently.
Tom: Yes. We now have a new way to look at things and that was the big thing we wanted to accomplish in this first session.
Old Yankee: It sounds like you guys want to end this session here. Should we stop?
Tom: Sounds good to me. Another part of the tried and true methods is taking the time to stop and think.
John: I agree. I need some time to process what we came up with today.
Old Yankee: Okay then, that will be the end of this session.
{Editor’s note: I think that I should point out that my reports are not a word for word, real-time recording of the sessions. As editor I cut out all sorts of things and include only what I consider to be important enough to include in my report. Because of that the report could give you the false impression that things went smoothly and quickly or that the session was much shorter than it actually was. O.Y.}
After thoughts:
I have to admit that, even though some interesting ideas were presented, I was disappointed with our lack of progress today. I was relieved when it was all over; relieved of the pressure of being a “sort of a moderator”, but just when it seemed like we might actually get somewhere they wanted to stop.
That “Iraq is too much like the U.S.” idea looks like a dead end to me but they have solved more problems than I have so maybe they know what is best in terms of what roads we should look down or when it is the best time to end a session.
As I write this I am thinking about Orville and Wilbur. They must have had a lot of disappointing days but they kept on going. Maybe that is the difference between the successful people and the unsuccessful ones. The successful people aren’t stopped by the disappointment. They somehow turn it into a positive learning experience and keep on moving. Some progress is better than no progress I suppose?
Anyway, that’s all for this report on the first session.
Once again I thank you so very much for your time.
Sincerely, with though and respect,
Old Yankee